Perspectives in motion...

 Malaysian Rating Corporation projects Malaysia’s debt to drop below 60pc of GDP by 2028 https://www.malaymail.com/news/money/2024/08/26/malaysian-rating-corporation-projects-malaysias-debt-to-drop-below-60pc-of-gdp-by-2028/148245

[27/08, 20:53] Tirath: Interesting.

Source of revenue:

GDP growth so debt % will drop unless Madani borrows more than essential, like other PMs.

Increased income for LHDN, Kastam (SST or GST, import duties and surtax) and Licensing.

No more subsidies except for extremely small select group.

Huge cut in expenditure due to hiving of health care costs to the individual via medical insurance schemes.

Welcome Developed Nation status.

Although who will be leading the next Madani government, Muslim Brotherhood members, like Hadi Awang and gang?

[27/08, 20:57] Guna balan: Until it is evident...we must not assume.

[27/08, 21:18] Tirath: I was discussing the assumptions for the forecast of 60% of GDP debt ratio.

Most of the time the results are forecasted but neither the assumptions are shared or later on during the quarters results announcement is the comparison shared.

Research may help to locate the basis.

As these rating agencies and others make huge profits on these forecast reports, the details are generally considered private.

[27/08, 21:28] Guna balan: many empirical data sets used but yes, the different houses do not reveal their chosen assumption. 

basically, rating agencies use a ‘point-in-time’ strategy, adapting to borrower countries’ current conditions in a manner that is constantly updated.

another perspective is using data sets submitted to world bank + central banks quarterly report

[27/08, 21:31] Guna balan: if nominal data sets used by students of econs are anything like theirs, then reliance on paid Financial statements, cash flow analysis, debt ratios, profitability measurements, and liquidity measures are a few examples of these indicators.

[27/08, 21:37] Guna balan: if your question pertains to what the determinants of country risk ratings be?, then that includes how safe madani govt is...

Country risk may be prompted by a number of country-specific factors or events. 

Him doing shenanigans with Zahid and playing good cop/ bad cop is a good example.

There are three major components of country risk, namely economic, financial and political risk.

Kalau the fella can show the country risk /literature / spiel holds strong, that means to the ratings house the country economic, financial and political risks are 👍🏼 ..basically it's autocratic rule to bring stability.

[27/08, 21:38] Guna balan: ie Razak's walk softly but carry big stick methodology

[28/08, 00:08] Tirath: Looks like supporting Palestine and importing Palestinians into Malaysia won very good marks for the Madani government. He should do by importing more Palestinians and Islamic Brotherhood members.

[28/08, 09:13] Guna balan: Jangaan takut....have spoken to some, ages ago.

They most definately prefer western countries to another muslim run country...unless they got no choice and its a plan B till they get their visa to either ozzie or nessie

[28/08, 09:14] Guna balan: Even indians and Sri lankans prefer other places except if constrained by other issues...

[28/08, 09:14] Guna balan: Arabs even worse...they don't even like the malays! They consider themselves as the real tuan and cannot adhere to malays ketuanan policy!

[28/08, 09:57] Guna balan: So, chill.

As an addendum, allow me to add that this again is a repeat of events that happened in the past, specifically the esrly 1990s.

At that time i remember the former slavic nations were at war as well and the religious war between the breakaway factions of croats and bosniaks became bad.

Anwar & mahathir did the same thing even then and brought entire communities of muslim bosniak's to m'sia.

They were mainly in Serdang area. Today, there is but a few left in malaydia as most recuperated here but moved on their own to either western europe or  ozzie land.

[28/08, 09:58] Guna balan: Jadi, perspectives are important. This people may not necessarily want to stay here!

[28/08, 10:00] Guna balan: I repeatedly said...i do not see the script changing.

What was, is & will be.

[28/08, 10:05] Guna balan: So, indirectly malaysian economic sustainability in late 80s to 2010 is up on our platter.

Comprehend that politically, economically and structural fundamentally in justice & suddenly you will understand what is next coming.

It is boom time, baby.

Travels & Tyrannies of Time 2

 

Travels & Tyrannies of Time